Which types of innovation reliably increase productivity, and under what conditions?
Jacques Mairesse, Pierre Mohnen, and Ad Notten examine a decade of empirical work on innovation and productivity in their paper "Innovation and productivity: the recent empirical literature and the state of the art" (2025).
They review more than a thousand peer-reviewed papers published between 2013 and 2023, most of which linking R&D, innovation output, and firm productivity across advanced and emerging economies.
Their main conclusions include:
This study makes the case for broader intangible disclosure beyond R&D spend, like management practices, artificial intelligence adoption, and organisational capabilities to assess productivity potential.
Industry context is decisive: for manufacturing firms, process and patent-based signals dominate, while for services portfolios, organisational and marketing innovation often explain more productivity dispersion.
Many underlying studies rely on cross-sectional or short-panel innovation surveys, which the authors acknowledge tend to overstate the innovation-productivity relationship compared to panel analyses with firm fixed effects.
Practitioners should therefore discount point estimates taken from single country cross-sectional studies and weight more heavily results from panel designs or quasi-experiments to sharpen causal claims.